- Region:
- World
- Category:
- Society
Climate change driven by humans made heatwave 'twice as likely'
Climate change resulting from human activities made the current Europe-wide heatwave more than twice as likely to occur, say scientists
Researchers compared the current high temperatures with historical records from seven weather stations, in different parts of Europe.
Their preliminary report found that the "signal of climate change is unambiguous," in this summer's heat.
They also say the scale of the heatwave in the Arctic is unprecedented.
To try and see if there is a connection, researchers defined a heatwave as the three warmest consecutive days in a year and looked at data from seven weather stations, in Finland, Denmark, Ireland, the Netherlands, Norway and Sweden.
They chose these locations because they all had digitised records dating back to the early 1900s, unlike the UK. The team also used computer models to assess the scale of human-influenced climate change.
The researchers found that in the weather stations in the Netherlands, Ireland and Denmark, climate change has generally increased the odds of the current heatwave by more than two-fold.
Why is Europe going through a heatwave?
Why is it so hot?
Partly, it’s just the luck of the weather. The jet stream – the west-to-east winds that play a big role in determining Europe’s weather – has been further north than usual for about two months. A stationary high-pressure weather system has left the UK and much of continental Europe sweltering. Iceland, by contrast, has been hit with clouds and storms that would normally come further south.
The jet stream’s northerly position may have been influenced by temperatures in the north of the Atlantic, which have been relatively warm in the subtropics and colder south of Greenland.
“The current hot and dry spell in the UK is partly due a combination of North Atlantic ocean temperatures, climate change and the weather,” said Len Shaffrey, a professor of climate science at the University of Reading.
The influence of climate change on the jet stream is still being explored.
BBC, THE GUARDIAN