Berlin – Exit polls from Germany’s 2025 federal elections indicate a major political shift, with the conservative Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and its Bavarian sister party, the Christian Social Union (CSU), emerging as the top political force. Friedrich Merz, CDU leader, is now the frontrunner to become the next German chancellor. Meanwhile, the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) has surged into second place, raising concerns among mainstream parties.

German Election Results and Party Performance

According to projections, the CDU/CSU bloc secured 28.6% of the vote, reaffirming its dominant position in German politics. The AfD saw an unprecedented rise, claiming 20.4%, nearly doubling its previous election performance. Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s Social Democratic Party (SPD) suffered a historic defeat, securing only 16.3%, its worst result in decades. Other parties included:

• Greens: 12.3%
• Left Party: 8.5%
• Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW): 4.9%
• Free Democratic Party (FDP): 4.7%

Coalition Talks on the Horizon

Despite AfD’s strong showing, other parties have firmly ruled out any coalition with the far-right group. This political isolation means that AfD is unlikely to wield real power despite its electoral gains.

With no party securing an outright majority, coalition negotiations are inevitable. Merz will have to engage in coalition talks with potential partners to form a governing coalition, a standard process in German elections.

Key German Election Themes

Voter concerns centered on economic stagnation and immigration policies, both of which played a crucial role in shaping the election outcome. The German election results also come amid evolving geopolitical challenges, including shifting transatlantic relations under the Trump administration and ongoing peace negotiations regarding Ukraine.

What Comes Next in German Politics?

As coalition discussions begin, the CDU’s leadership under Merz will be tested in its ability to navigate political alliances and ensure a stable government. While the AfD's rise signals growing discontent among voters, mainstream parties remain committed to keeping the far-right from direct political influence.

The coming weeks will determine Germany’s political direction as coalition negotiations unfold to establish the next government. The results of the 2025 German elections mark a turning point in German politics, with CDU and Friedrich Merz leading the way amid the rise of AfD and shifting political dynamics.