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Goldman Sachs predicts FDA will approve coronavirus vaccine this year
"While highly uncertain, our baseline expectation is that a large number of vaccines eventually gain approval with at least one FDA approval this year," Daan Struyven, a senior economist at Goldman, told investors in a report
Goldman Sachs expects the Food and Drug Administration to approve at least one coronavirus vaccine this year. That would allow "large shares" of the U.S. population to get inoculated by July of next year, according to the investment bank.
"While highly uncertain, our baseline expectation is that a large number of vaccines eventually gain approval with at least one FDA approval this year," Daan Struyven, a senior economist at Goldman, told investors in a report.
Drugmakers have 26 vaccines in clinical trials, he noted. Among the candidates are a dozen that have reached Phase II trials and six that are in Phase III undergoing tests for large-scale efficacy and safety. For Europeans, U.S. regulatory approval of an initial vaccine would allow them to get vaccinated by October.
"For context, it took hepatitis B — the disease with the largest number of attempts — decades to reach the number of developments COVID-19 has sparked in a few quarters," Struyven said.
Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, expressed hope last month that a "safe and effective" vaccine would be available by late fall or early winter. But he and other experts have cautioned that scientists may need to develop several vaccines to beat COVID-19. One recent study determined there are six distinct "types" of coronavirus involving different clusters of symptoms.
The coronavirus has spread like wildfire across the U.S., most recently in southern and western states. The pandemic is now "extraordinarily widespread" in rural areas that weren't affected by earlier waves, Dr. Deborah Birx, the White House coronavirus task force coordinator, told CNN.