The emergence of the Islamist state through the terrible images beheading, slitting the throats of western hostages, gave international importance not known since the attacks of Al-Qaeda
It is recognized that Israel is the country they live in as many specialists and scholars of Islam, all universities and institutions of higher academic departments have to study it, there are many teachers, doctors and researchers on Islamism permanently rotate through television set, presented in newspapers, are advisors governments, consulting from around the world, became one of the most profitable professions.
Although nothing is new, it is the same tree of Islamist terrorism dispersed around the world that are creating new names, fractions, twigs and branches, the emergence of Islamist state through the terrible images beheading, slitting the throats of kidnapped Westerners gave international importance not known from the Al-Qaeda attacks on the famous Twin Towers on September 11 famous and the fight against the Taliban regime in Afghanistan, where the brain of the terrorist Osama bin Laden was hiding, terrorism is the same but with a different marketing.
On Thursday 18 everyone stopped their outstanding results in Scotland breathing, borders and countries within Europe could be changed, nothing happened. Large analysts wrong vision in Europe is not the problem, the major changes will occur in the Middle East. A new future Kurdish state in northern Iraq and Syria begins to take shape, Turkey will not remain a passive observer, whether the area itself is worrying because the future is not reassuring, on the contrary, a real time bomb.
All intelligence services agree that they are only between 20 and 25 thousand terrorists that make up the strength of Islamist state. If fight them for the United States and the coalition of more than 30 countries that require support, as President Obama himself said, not less than 3 years, is a clear sign that the world has a serious problem of leadership.
Billions of dollars feed terrorist groups, quite an impressive business around them, with one hand fight against them with the other multi-million dollar arms sales materialize, the revolving door. If you do not cut that cash flow (the great powers have all the tools and information to do so) it is simply because they do not care, economic interests are so powerful that they make their own game.
Middle East is sitting on a powder keg, are now much more sophisticated weapons, anywhere without warning spark can ignite. North of Israel, Lebanon, Hisballá with more than 80 thousand rockets pointing over his land from Syria every day on the Golan Heights some lost lands in the internal war between the government and opponents of Assad rocket a war that more than 250,000 civilians killed over the world, except declarations of commitment, nothing says, in the south a ceasefire with Hamas subject with pins at any time breaks was, after 30 days to "complete" the war. theoretically newly morning began preparations for the first meeting between the parties, and last but not least the President of the Palestinian Authority, figure so respected abroad, governs tightrope, internally all against him, the gates of hell are opened anytime ...
Saying President Obama in his fight against EI is puzzled that the alternatives and combinations are endless, this led me to the note holder recalling the famous chess games between at that time world champion Kasparov and the computer Deep Blue specially prepared for this confrontation had millions of possible combinations, differences between mistakes in the game of chess and error to find the right on the other they are in sight, the declared disorientation and fatigue from all that means Middle East who presides the first world power is troubling as a sign to the world and its many open conflicts.
Within days of the Jewish New Year, just to make a synthesis of the ending and projections about the new time. Gone 50 days of the long war with the painful aftermath of dead and wounded on both sides, now in a fragile and shaky truce, a direct economic cost of almost 4 billion dollars and a few more indirectly, as by one hand there is a strong economy able to withstand these high costs, flourishing as far as foreign investment is concerned, the stock market at record highs even up in the war period, a clear sign of confidence, not a day goes by that some company high technology does is purchased by American capital, European, Japanese or Chinese, all seek opportunities that allow them, the Silicon Valley Israel is the world's largest central neurons applied in new technologies, on the other hand, not all glitters is not gold, is the broad base of the pyramid in greater precariousness and poverty.
To date, Benjamin Netanyahu is the only political leader who exists in Israel, all the others do not scare or dwarfed, a situation that will last a few more years, they could face potential with some chance of success, finding with a roof to advance were taking steps to the side, left alone, but the coalition of forces that run is not the best political constellation.
This leads the present writer to dare to make a prediction, 2015 is an election year in which to advance the elections Netanyahu seek to strengthen leadership that gives the strength to move towards a political settlement with the Palestinians, in his last want to go down in history with it as their greatest success, and is the only one able to give to agree.
But we have enough experience in the Middle East is tomorrow a lifetime, in seconds everything changes.
Traslation Belén Zapata